Saturday’s game that pits the No. 1 Auburn Tigers (26-2, 14-1 SEC) against the No. 17 Kentucky Wildcats (19-9, 8-7 SEC) at Rupp Arena has a projected final score of 81-77 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Auburn, who is a slight favorite in this matchup according to our model. Game time is at 1 p.m. ET on March 1.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky is projected to cover the point spread (5.5) against Auburn. The two teams are projected to come in below the 167.5 over/under.

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Auburn vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV: ABC
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Auburn -5.5
• Point total: 167.5
• Moneyline (to win): Auburn -205, Kentucky +168

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Auburn vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Auburn 81, Kentucky 77

Spread & Total Prediction for Auburn vs. Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (+5.5)
• Pick OU: Under (167.5)

Auburn is 17-11-0 against the spread this season compared to Kentucky’s 14-14-0 ATS record. The Tigers have a 17-11-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Wildcats have a record of 15-13-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams combine to score 170.7 points per game, 3.2 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 contests, Auburn is 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall while Kentucky has gone 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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Auburn Performance Insights

• The Tigers average 85.1 points per game (fifth in college basketball) while giving up 68.4 per contest (75th in college basketball). They have a +467 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 16.7 points per game.
• Auburn grabs 35.4 rebounds per game (30th in college basketball) while conceding 28.6 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.8 boards per game.
• Auburn hits 9.3 three-pointers per game (51st in college basketball) while shooting 36.7% from deep (49th in college basketball). It is making 3.4 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 5.9 per game while shooting 29.5%.
• The Tigers rank fourth in college basketball by averaging 108.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 42nd in college basketball, allowing 87.2 points per 100 possessions.
• Auburn has committed 8.8 turnovers per game (seventh in college basketball action), 2.2 fewer than the 11.0 it forces on average (220th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats outscore opponents by 9.0 points per game (posting 85.6 points per game, third in college basketball, and allowing 76.6 per contest, 310th in college basketball) and have a +250 scoring differential.
• Kentucky wins the rebound battle by 2.7 boards on average. It records 34.8 rebounds per game, 52nd in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 32.1.
• Kentucky knocks down 9.9 three-pointers per game (27th in college basketball) at a 37.6% rate (26th in college basketball), compared to the 8.3 per game its opponents make, at a 29.7% rate.
• Kentucky forces 9.8 turnovers per game (325th in college basketball) while committing 10.2 (79th in college basketball).

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