Pacers vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 28

Published 9:19 pm Thursday, February 27, 2025

The Indiana Pacers (33-24) hit the court against the Miami Heat (27-30) as 3.5-point favorites on Friday, February 28, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSIN.

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Pacers vs. Heat Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and FDSIN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

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Pacers vs. Heat Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Heat 114 – Pacers 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Pacers vs. Heat

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 3.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (226.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 226.1
  • The Pacers (28-29-0 ATS) have covered the spread 49.1% of the time, 3.5% more often than the Heat (26-31-0) this season.
  • Indiana covers the spread when it is a 3.5-point favorite or more 44.4% of the time. That’s more often than Miami covers as an underdog of 3.5 or more (35.3%).
  • When it comes to going over the total in 2024-25, Indiana does it more often (57.9% of the time) than Miami (54.4%).
  • As a moneyline favorite this year, the Pacers are 21-12, a better record than the Heat have put up (8-17) as moneyline underdogs.

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Pacers Performance Insights

  • Offensively, the Pacers are posting 116.4 points per game (ninth-ranked in league). They are allowing 115.2 points per contest on defense (20th-ranked).
  • While Indiana is in the bottom five in the NBA in rebounds per game with 41.4 (third-worst), it ranks 19th in the league with 44.6 rebounds allowed per game.
  • The Pacers rank sixth in the NBA with 28.9 assists per contest.
  • Indiana ranks top-five this year in turnovers, ranking fourth-best in the league with 12.6 turnovers per game. Meanwhile, it ranks ninth with 14.2 forced turnovers per contest.
  • The Pacers are sinking 12.7 threes per game (19th-ranked in league). They sport a 36.7% shooting percentage (11th-ranked) from downtown.

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Heat Performance Insights

  • In 2024-25, the Heat are 24th in the league offensively (110 points scored per game) and seventh defensively (110.6 points conceded).
  • In 2024-25, Miami is 18th in the league in rebounds (43.9 per game) and 23rd in rebounds conceded (45.5).
  • This season the Heat are ranked 16th in the NBA in assists at 26.1 per game.
  • In terms of turnovers, Miami is sixth in the league in committing them (12.7 per game). It is 23rd in forcing them (12.6 per game).
  • The Heat are 11th in the league in 3-pointers made (13.9 per game) and 14th in 3-point percentage (36%).

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