Saturday’s game between the No. 5 Kentucky Wildcats (9-1) and the Louisville Cardinals (6-4) at Rupp Arena is expected to be a one-sided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 82-72 and heavily favors Kentucky to take home the win. Game time is at 5:15 PM ET on December 14.

Based on our computer prediction, Louisville is a good bet to cover the point spread, which currently sits at 10.5. The two teams are projected to come in below the 157.5 total.

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Kentucky vs. Louisville Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 14, 2024
• Time: 5:15 PM ET
• TV: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Lexington, Kentucky
• Venue: Rupp Arena
• Line: Kentucky -10.5
• Point total: 157.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -649, Louisville +460

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Kentucky vs. Louisville Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 82, Louisville 72

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Louisville

• Pick ATS: Louisville (+10.5)
• Pick OU: Under (157.5)

Kentucky has a 5-5-0 record against the spread this season compared to Louisville, who is 4-6-0 ATS. A total of six out of the Wildcats’ games this season have hit the over, and two of the Cardinals’ games have gone over. The teams average 167.2 points per game, 9.7 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats are outscoring opponents by 20.8 points per game with a +208 scoring differential overall. They put up 91.1 points per game (first in college basketball) and allow 70.3 per outing (166th in college basketball).
• Kentucky is fourth in the nation at 40.1 rebounds per game. That’s 5.9 more than the 34.2 its opponents average.
• Kentucky hits 10.2 three-pointers per game (31st in college basketball), 3.2 more than its opponents (7.0). It is shooting 35.5% from deep (117th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 26.4%.
• The Wildcats score 108.0 points per 100 possessions (13th in college basketball), while giving up 83.3 points per 100 possessions (41st in college basketball).
• Kentucky and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Wildcats commit 9.2 per game (19th in college basketball) and force 10.2 (309th in college basketball action).

Louisville Performance Insights

• The Cardinals’ +74 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 76.1 points per game (175th in college basketball) while giving up 68.7 per outing (125th in college basketball).
• Louisville is 39th in college basketball at 37.1 rebounds per game. That’s 6.7 more than the 30.4 its opponents average.
• Louisville connects on 8.6 three-pointers per game (119th in college basketball) at a 27.0% rate (352nd in college basketball), compared to the 7.7 its opponents make, shooting 33.9% from deep.
• Louisville has committed 12.5 turnovers per game (264th in college basketball), 2.1 fewer than the 14.6 it forces (47th in college basketball).

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