Gonzaga vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – December 7

Published 7:29 pm Friday, December 6, 2024

Saturday’s contest between the No. 7 Gonzaga Bulldogs (7-1) and No. 4 Kentucky Wildcats (7-1) at Climate Pledge Arena should be a tight matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 80-78, with Gonzaga securing the victory. Tipoff is at 10:00 PM ET on December 7.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 6.5-point spread in its matchup versus Gonzaga. The over/under has been set at 166.5, and the two sides are projected to go under that total.

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Gonzaga vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, December 7, 2024
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN2
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Seattle, Washington
  • Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
  • Line: Gonzaga -6.5
  • Point total: 166.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Gonzaga -255, Kentucky +205

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Gonzaga vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Gonzaga 80, Kentucky 78

Spread & Total Prediction for Gonzaga vs. Kentucky

  • Pick ATS: Kentucky (+6.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (166.5)

Gonzaga’s record against the spread this season is 6-2-0, and Kentucky’s is 4-4-0. The Bulldogs have a 6-2-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Wildcats have a record of 5-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams score 183.3 points per game, 16.8 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Gonzaga Performance Insights

  • The Bulldogs outscore opponents by 24.3 points per game (scoring 90.4 points per game to rank fourth in college basketball while allowing 66.1 per contest to rank 72nd in college basketball) and have a +194 scoring differential overall.
  • Gonzaga wins the rebound battle by 9.7 boards on average. It collects 37 rebounds per game, which ranks 44th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 27.3 per contest.
  • Gonzaga hits 8 three-pointers per game (170th in college basketball) at a 35.4% rate (112th in college basketball), compared to the 5.8 per game its opponents make at a 24.5% rate.
  • The Bulldogs average 112 points per 100 possessions on offense (fourth in college basketball), and give up 81.9 points per 100 possessions (34th in college basketball).
  • Gonzaga wins the turnover battle by 3.2 per game, committing 9.3 (27th in college basketball) while its opponents average 12.5.

Kentucky Performance Insights

  • The Wildcats have a +196 scoring differential, topping opponents by 24.5 points per game. They’re putting up 92.9 points per game, first in college basketball, and are giving up 68.4 per contest to rank 124th in college basketball.
  • The 40 rebounds per game Kentucky accumulates rank fourth in the nation, 6.4 more than the 33.6 its opponents grab.
  • Kentucky knocks down four more threes per contest than the opposition, 10.6 (21st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.6.
  • Kentucky has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 10 per game (61st in college basketball) while forcing 11.1 (259th in college basketball).

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