Duke vs. Kentucky Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – November 12

Published 12:28 am Monday, November 11, 2024

Tuesday’s game between the No. 7 Duke Blue Devils (2-0) and No. 23 Kentucky Wildcats (2-0) matching up at State Farm Arena has a projected final score of 82-81 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of Duke, so expect a competitive matchup. The game will tip off at 9:00 PM ET on November 12.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky is a good bet to cover the spread, which currently sits at 6.5. The two teams are projected to eclipse the over/under.

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Duke vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, November 12, 2024
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Venue: State Farm Arena
  • Line: Duke -6.5

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Duke vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Duke 82, Kentucky 81

Spread & Total Prediction for Duke vs. Kentucky

  • Pick ATS: Kentucky (+6.5)
  • Computer Predicted Total: 163.3

Bet on this or any men’s college basketball matchup at BetMGM.

Duke Performance Insights

  • Last year, Duke was 59th in the nation on offense (78.6 points scored per game) and 28th defensively (66.3 points allowed).
  • Last season, the Blue Devils were 101st in college basketball in rebounds (33.5 per game) and 35th in rebounds allowed (29.1).
  • Duke was 50th in college basketball in assists (15.3 per game) last year.
  • The Blue Devils were 87th in the nation in 3-pointers made (8.3 per game) and 14th-best in 3-point percentage (37.7%) last season.
  • Duke was 44th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (6.3 per game) and 69th in 3-point percentage defensively (31.8%) last season.
  • Duke attempted 62.5% of its shots from inside the 3-point line, and 37.5% from beyond it last year. In terms of makes, 70.3% of Duke’s buckets were 2-pointers, and 29.7% were 3-pointers.

Kentucky Performance Insights

  • Because of Kentucky’s defensive struggles last year, ranking 15th-worst in the nation with 79.7 points allowed per game, it was forced to lean on its offense, which ranked second-best in college basketball posting 89.0 points per game.
  • The Wildcats averaged 34.3 boards per game (67th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while allowing 33.3 rebounds per contest (280th-ranked).
  • Kentucky tallied plenty of assists last year, ranking 13th-best in the nation with 17.5 per game.
  • With 10.4 turnovers per game, the Wildcats were 96th in college basketball. They forced 11.4 turnovers per contest, which ranked 157th in college basketball.
  • The Wildcats thrived in terms of three-point shooting last year, ranking 16th-best in college basketball in three-pointers per game (9.9) and best in three-point percentage (40.9%).
  • Kentucky ranked 319th in college basketball with 8.6 threes allowed per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 151st with a 33.2% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.
  • Of the shots taken by Kentucky last year, 62.5% of them were two-pointers (69% of the team’s made baskets) and 37.5% were three-pointers (31%).

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